Global Commodity State
Structural Imbalance Radar
Monitored: 8 Commodities
Structural Tight: 4
Actionable Opportunities: 2
Active Theses: 4
Supply Tightness: HIGHInventory Stress: HIGHDemand Pressure: MODERATEOpportunity Density: HIGH
Formula: Div = Fund Tightness - Market ImpliedWhat Changed?
Global Opportunity Radar
| Rank | Commodity | Price | Fundamental | Momentum | Physical Conf | Divergence | Opportunity | State | Action |
|---|
Active Theses Evolution
4 Active TrackersZINCStrengthening
Concentrate starvation driving TC collapse into smelter cuts.
+12 DivergenceScore: 91
ROBUSTA COFFEEStrengthening
Vietnam flowering drought + domestic farmer withholding.
+9 DivergenceScore: 87
SILVERCrowded Spec
PV solar cell industrial deficit solid, but 72nd percentile spec long positioning.
+11 DivergenceScore: 74
Fundamental vs Price Matrix
Opportunity QuadrantWATCH (Low Mkt, High Fund)OPPORTUNITY (Physical Deficit, Price Lag)
ZINC (+31)
ROBUSTA (+25)
COPPER (+22)
SILVER (+11)
WHEAT (-2)
WEAK (Low Fund, Low Mkt)OVERPRICED (Low Fund, High Mkt)
Target Quadrant: Top-right represents commodities where physical conditions are tightening faster than financial market pricing.